A lot of you may have been asking yourselves over the last 6 months, “Where’s Willie? Horse Racing Handicapping tips are hard enough to come by without Willie taking a powder!”

I am sorry for that, but I have been putting up what I consider to be helpful articles written by some of the best handicappers I know. Believe it or not, for a little while, I was Hollywood Willie, not the Hollywood dog track, now known as Mardi Gras, for reasons that escape me. Also not the Hollywood horse track in California, though I did visit it while out there in California.

No, I mean the real deal, Hollywood California where I strolled through a few movies and TV shows as an extra and flirted with fame.

But now, it is back to the East Coast and handicapping horse races, both harness and thoroughbred, and wondering about the fate of greyhound racing.

Here is my latest tip on handicapping and betting on horse races. It is all about the money. I have been doing a study and in the last three weeks I have an ROI of around 40% and a strike rate of 29% and I have not cracked open a form or program. I have just been following the money and betting when a horse is live.

I use the BETPAD interface and that is why I have started advertising it on my site. It is very helpful for tracking the money in ways that are taught by Bill Peterson, et. al.

So the thoguht for the season as we gear up for Aqueduct and Santa Anita is, follow the money and only bet alive horse, and of course, lay off the favorites, too many are getting stiffed lately.

By http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson   Bill Peterson

Is there a quick and easy way to pick winners at the horse races? Yes and no is the honest answer. Yes there is a quick way to eliminate the losers and therefore be left with the most likely winners. Does that mean you will make a profit from the horses that are left to bet on? Maybe, but nothing is guaranteed, especially in anything as risky as horse racing.

Many people spend hours pouring over racing forms and programs searching for winning bets. Good horse racing handicappers look for horses who are the best and therefore likely to win. Good gamblers also may handicap horse races, but they are not only looking for the likely winners, but also for situations to make money on and those two things are sometimes not the same.

You will find at most race tracks that the most likely winner will be the favorite in the betting pools. However, that horse may not always have a statistical edge and that is how you can eliminate horses who will probably disappoint the crowd. The reason is that a horse often gets a lot of money bet on it for one or two reasons and the crowd is sometimes willing to overlook its shortcomings because of some impressive statistic.

For instance, statistically, horses who have not raced within 30 days of the date of the race are much less likely to win. In fact, at least 70 percent of winners have had a race within 30 days of the current race. But you will still find horses that take a lot of action at the betting windows, may in fact be the favorites, who have not had a race in over 30 days. There must be a reason for that and it is usually a fast speed figure in their most recent race, a big class drop, or some other impressive factor.

Many people call these favorites who have a statistical flaw or handicap, phonies or false favorites. To find the false favorite, look for any horse who is taking most of the betting action who does not meet the following criteria…

1. must have raced in the last 35 days2. must be racing at the same class or a lower class3. must have a last race speed figure in the top three

Just by using those three criteria you can eliminate many false favorites. Of course, once you eliminate the false favorite the next thing you must do is find a horse who is within the top three favorites in betting who does meet those requirements. The winner is usually found within the top three horses in the betting and will meet those requirements.

Finding the horse who meets the requirement for a winner is one of the quickest and easiest ways to find winners at the horse races. Many of them do go off at short prices and if you want to make a profit, you may have to do more in depth handicapping, but you will find that it is worth it if you want to make money betting on horses and you are looking for more than just a casual day at the races.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to [http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html]http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson http://EzineArticles.com/?Quick-and-Easy-Way-to-Pick-Winners-at-the-Horse-Races&id=2630884

By Bill Peterson

Handicapping horse races can be a lot of work if you get into it in depth and try hard to make a profit. As many people find, there is no easy road to riches when betting on horse races. You can use a simple system if you just want to be a recreational bettor and have a nice day at the races and perhaps make a profit.

But if you are seriously trying to make money at it, you will have to work hard and learn your craft, and even then, it may not be enough. There are people who grow weary from trying to handicap the races who try to find a way to just use the odds and to manipulate their bets in such a way that they make a profit.

Years ago, Dr. Z showed us that he could make a profit from place and show bets just using some simple calculations and by following the pools off the tote board. I think it would be safe to say that Dr. Z., a mathematics professor, was a mathematical genius. It would also be safe to say that he not only proved it could be done, but by publishing his system, so that it was available to many people, also made it very unlikely that you can do it today. The problem is that now too many people know how to do it.

That ruins the odds and also makes it difficult to get that last minute bet in without seeing the odds make their last flip down and wiping out any advantage you may have had. Across the pond, in great Britain, where bookmakers still make odds, it is possible to structure bets according to a system and to make a profit, if you are good and the book maker isn’t paying attention, but bookmakers rarely let you get away with that very often. They are trying to make a profit, too.

My own experience has been that there isn’t a way that I have found to consistently make a profit strictly by watching the odds board. However, I have found that certain discrepancies in the pools show that the stable is betting its own horse. That is the only gold I’ve found lately on the tote board, but just knowing who is betting their own horse can be a real gem, if you think about that.

I’m not saying there isn’t a way to make a profit from betting the odds board, just that I haven’t found it in all my years of staring at them.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson
http://EzineArticles.com/?Is-There-a-Way-to-Bet-on-Horse-Races-and-Make-a-Profit-Strictly-From-the-Odds&id=1958770

By Bill Peterson

In Part One of this series I explained that a few ticks (a tick being one fifth of a second) at the beginning of a race can amount to a lot more at the end of the race. A horse who runs 23:2 in the first quarter mile rather than the 24 it would have been more comfortable with, may actually finish the race a full second or more slower than it would have if it could have set its own fractions. The point is that early pace can have a dramatic effect upon the final time. If you think a horse will run a few ticks faster in the early stages than it did in its last race, you have to deduct more than a few ticks from what you think the final time will be.

No discussion of pace and times would be complete without talking about track variants and models, and of course, track biases. Track variants are just the differences in how fast a track is from day to day. Many things can change how fast horses can run on a track, moisture is the first factor. With the advent of poly tracks that may have been negated somewhat, but is still a consideration. How the track is groomed and how much sunlight has hit the track as well as ambient temperature all make a difference.

The track that $10,000 claimers easily ran 6 furlongs in 1:10 flat yesterday may find the same class of horses struggling to run 6 furlongs in 1:11 today. Speed figures and variants are calculated by comparing races from day to day and then making adjustment to final times and fractions. So if you handicap a race today and want to compare fractions to determine pace, like we did in Part One, then you must also compare variants and make adjustments.

Rather than do all my own calculations, I use one of the popular past performance providers whose pace figures seem to hold up rather well, though they are not infallible. Horse racing handicapping is a time consuming business when done properly so it helps to have reliable sources of information that save time.

I also use their stats and track models to know what has been winning at the distance. For instance, if I see that almost all 6 furlong events are won by a horse that manages to be two lengths or less from the leader at the half mile call, I start to look at horses that figure to be able to position themselves there in order to be close enough to strike in the stretch.

Other than the other handicapping factors that I use to eliminate some horses from consideration, I look at the pace scenario that I expect and then at the horses who figure to be there. The question always boils down to this, What will the early pace scenario be in this race, i.e., fast or slow, and how will that affect each horse in the race?”

Looking at pace figures and running styles, I try to place each horse throughout the race and then, based on that, I determine which runners will have a chance to win in the stretch run. Obviously, pace handicapping is not an exact science and many other handicapping factors come into play, but if you can adjust pace figures and determine a pace scenario, then compare it to the race model for winners at the class and distance, you can very often narrow your choices down to one or two horses.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson
http://EzineArticles.com/?Using-Early-Fractions-and-Final-Times-to-Handicap-Horse-Races—Part-Two&id=1957265

By Bill Peterson

Pace and times are a complicated subject and I couldn’t possibly put everything you need to know to be a successful pace handicapper into this one article. I have been studying pace and handicapping for years and I am still learning. However, just understanding the relationship between early fractions and final times is a good place to start when learning horse racing handicapping.

How fast a horse runs at the start of a race has a lot to do with how it will finish the race. You also have to factor into that equation the track variant and running style of the race. For the sake of this article, we’ll leave the variant out of our handicapping. I’ll write about that in part two.

There are different running styles and of course there is also a jockey who may try to change a horse’s running style and natural pace. For instance, if a horse is a closer that likes to start a race at an easy pace and then gradually build up speed, putting in a good final rush at the end of the race, the jockey may decide that just won’t do and pushes the horse to move faster at the beginning. This may or may not work out well. It will depend upon how well the horse adapts to the faster early fractions and how fast the other runners run in the final fractions.

The important aspect for the handicapper to note and use to his or her advantage is whether this tactic was used on a horse in its last race. If a horse was urged to run faster than it wanted to in the early stages, or was throttled back in the early stages, it may have a negative impact so the animal’s last race is not a good indication of its current form or ability. When I am looking through the past performances and see a line that is out of character compared to the rest, I know something was up and must try to determine why the jockey rode in this fashion.

Let’s take a 6 furlong event as our horse racing handicapping example and look at the fractions to try to understand the relationship of early pace to late pace and overall race times. First of all, let’s say this is a five horse field. The favorite, let’s call him Bob, an early speedster, shows a first quarter of 24 in its last race, a 48 in the half mile call and a 1:10 flat for the final time. No other horse in the race shows a 1:10 so the crowd figures Bob is the fastest horse in the race.

A closer look at the Bob’s lines indicates that he ran on the lead, unopposed in his last race, 2 lengths ahead of the next horse. Bob got loose in the race and managed to set the fractions and run his own race. He may not be so lucky in this race however, because Sam, another early speedster is also in the race. Sam wasn’t so lucky in his last race. He teamed up in an early speed duel and ran the fractions in 23:2, 46:4, finishing his last race in 1:10:4 and losing by four lengths. Both Bob and Sam are probably going to hook up in this race and if the jockeys can’t keep them on a sensible pace, they will use most of their energy in a speed battle.

If that happens and they run side by side and set the same fractions that Sam set in his last battle, Bob will probably not be able to manage another 1:10 flat unless the track is a heavily speed favoring track. If Sam’s jockey can rate his horse just behind Bob but push Bob along as Bob tries to maintain a lead like he did in his last race, Sam may be able to win.

For instance, if Bob feels the pressure from Sam in the first quarter and they go 23:2, but then Sam’s rider manages to back him off for an easier second quarter, of say 48:1, while Bob, still feeling the heat from Sam races three lengths ahead of him and runs a 47:3, then Bob is going to be mighty tired entering the stretch, whereas Sam might have a little left in the tank to put him away. With that softer second quarter mile, Sam may be able to come close to Bob’s earlier mark of 1:10 flat. Even if he misses it by a tick or two, Bob will not be around to challenge him.

The point is that racing a few ticks faster earlier in the race can amount to a lot more at the end of the race. Going the first quarter in 23:2 instead of 24, and the second in 47:3 instead of 48 may amount to a finish in 1:12! The difference isn’t always the same but must be calculated exponentially. A tick in the first quarter can be 3 or 4 at the end of the race.

Of course, all of this is hypothetical based on what you think each jockey and horse will do in the situation. There are still three other horses in the race who must be reckoned with. In this case, if you think that Sam’s jockey will do just what I’ve outlined and will actually have the better horse at the end, the next thing to look for is any horse in the field that will benefit from that pace duel and the softening of Bob.

Finding a horse that will be coming from off the pace and closing in the stretch may put you on a longer priced winner or a horse to play with Sam in an exacta. In this scenario, the favorite may well run out of the money or at least miss the top two spots. It is a golden opportunity to make some money from good horse racing handicapping.

Now the disclaimer, don’t always expect horses to run the way you think they’ll run. Horse races are hard fought sporting events. Jockeys must make split second decisions, many things can happen during a race that will alter the result.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/ and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson
http://EzineArticles.com/?Using-Early-Fractions-and-Final-Times-to-Handicap-Horse-Races—Part-One&id=1957256

By Bill Peterson

There is a saying that some people use when handicapping maiden horse races. “The class ladder only goes one way in maiden races.” What they mean is that once a horse drops in class, particularly from the maiden special weight (MSW) ranks to the claimers, it can’t move back up into the MSW races and win. That just isn’t true. I have seen many horses drop from the maiden special weight ranks into a maiden claimer and then move back up to an MSW and win. I don’t know what the statistics are, but anecdotally, it seems to be happening more and more lately.

The logic behind the statement that the class ladder only goes one way is based on an idea about maiden horses that many handicappers seem to share. The notion is that maidens are pretty transparent and what you see, as far as form and ability, is what you get. This is true many times and that is why a high percentage of favorites win maiden races.

But before we run to the windows to bet all favorites in maiden races to win, here is another thought, maidens, being young and developing, are also subject to change and change quickly. This second thought seems to contradict our earlier one about the transparency of maidens. It does, but then again, maidens can be quite confusing to handicap. Picking winners in races for maidens is just as difficult as in any other class of races.

Because they are young and still developing, their trainers are experimenting with equipment changes, training changes, jockey changes… get the idea? Any one of those changes can have a dramatic impact on the horse’s performance. Therefore, if a trainer makes an adjustment and the horse seems to improve dramatically, he or she is likely to take the horse out of the lower grade race and move it back into a higher grade, even going from claimers to special weights. The success of that move will depend upon many things including, the strength of the competition, the ability of the trainer and jockey, and good old racing luck.

When I am handicapping races and see a horse moving back into the MSW races after sojourn in the claimers, I am always suspicious and look closely at the horse and its workouts. If the trainer is competent and a good jockey is on the horse, I have to figure that there should be an improvement in the runner’s performance. When you encounter these class movers, be careful. While the drop from MSW to claimers may be the biggest class drop in racing, the class ladder still goes both ways.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html Bill’s handicapping store.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson
http://EzineArticles.com/?Handicapping-Maiden-Races-For-Horses-Dropping-Or-Going-Up-in-Class&id=1678643

This is one of those stream of barely consciousness posts that came to me this morning as I was meditating.  According to my bio-rhythms and numerology this may not be a good time to go public with my ideas or even to have ideas, but that has never stopped me yet, so why change now?

I have been pretty worried about being eaten by a snake since, while I was staying in a motel room, I caught part of a television show about a guy in a foreign country who had been  crushed and swallowed by a snake while walking in the forest.  The guy was walking, not the snake.  Then I saw a picture of that huge snake that exploded in the everglades after eating an alligator and I spent the winter in Florida, so that made it even worse.  Every night I surrounded myself with universal white light protection so the damned snakes and aliens wouldn’t get me.  I wonder if an alien was ever eaten by a snake?  My grandfather ate rattlesnakes when he was a cowboy in Montana.  See how my mind just wheels along from thing to thing?  The thing is that it really feels like I’m thinking about the same thing even though, technically speaking, I’m not.

So I told my friend, Debi, that I was afraid of being eaten alive while sleeping in the trailer but felt safe while living in Maine because there are no dangerous snakes in Maine.  Then there were two stories in Maine about reticulated pythons suddenly appearing out of nowhere.  One was in a lady’s washing machine and another was under the hood of a guy’s truck.  So that really shook me up and now I don’t feel safe in Maine.  On top of that I don’t know what reticulated means and keep forgetting to look it up.  I know articulated means jointed like the articulated lorries in England, but reticulated sounds like something to do with the eyes.  Maybe there is something called a reticula in the eye?  I don’t know.

Well, anyway, Debi said if I kept thinking about snakes I would draw them to me.  I replied that I thought about winning the lottery and having sex a lot and didn’t seem to be doing a very good job of drawing them to me so why the hell would it work with snakes?  A few days after that I found a damned green snake hiding in the moulding around my door!  It was kind of sticking out a little and when I touched it the damned thing stuck its head out and stuck its tongue out at me.  Debi said, see!

Then yesterday I opened the door and there was a striped garter snake on the flagstone outside the door.  Now this is getting rediculous.  If I can draw snakes to me why can’t I draw the damned powerball number?  All this is going through my head while I am meditating as well as the nothingness of putting my thoughts and awareness in the four parallel dimensions of reciprocal space where my own higher self exists as a principle and creates this four dimensional world.

Which brings us to the idea that we do not create our world from this domain of four dimensions we call reality or the conscious world.  It happens in the reciprocal domain so we are just going along following the motions of the urges our higher self subtley puts into our subconscious minds.  Therefore, like smoking, its not my fault.

I went into the tobacco shop yesterday to buy some of my favorite Nicaraguan hand rolled doobies and there were candy cigarettes on the counter.  I haven’t seen candy cigarettes since I was a kid and smoking was in vogue and especially embraced by my own parents, two of the vogue-iest people you’d ever want to meet, but you can’t because they are both dead, but before you say aha! Let me inform you that only one died from the effects of smoking and not necessarily directly. Still with me? Good.

I asked the clerk what they had candy cigarettes for since kids couldn’t come into the store.  He said that adults buy them to help them quit smoking and that sometimes they buy them for their kids.  Now that is interesting. My parents bought them for me, but not to help me quit smoking, even though I started when I was six and there were actually days in my life when I used both the candy and real kind of cigarettes. Therefore, in a way, candy cigarettes helped me to become a smoker and could, I said could, possibly help me to quit the cigar habit providing I wanted to, which I don’t at the moment, though I do when I walk up the steep hills of Dixmont, which I have been doing a lot lately.

So apparently, if you’re trying to quit smoking, sucking on a candy cigarette that you take from a pack that is much like the real thing, will help you to quit.  This intrigues me since I used to be a clinical hypnotherapist and helped a lot of people quit smoking, though I myself went back to smoking cigars because I really do enjoy it.  Candy cigarettes naturally led me to thinking about sex,  like most things do.

I worked with a few sex addicts when I was a therapist, though it wasn’t my specialty and I usually refered them to someone else.  I also worked with a few of the women who worked in the “massage parlor” that also was in the building where my office was when I was a hypnotherapist.  Some of them had issues about some of the things they were expected to do as part of their job, but once again you’re getting off the subject.

I thought to myself, if candy cigarettes can help you to quit smoking, would candy condoms help a sex addict?  I mean they already have edible panties, why not edible condoms, in fact, for all I know, they already do.  Let’s say a sex addict got the urge to have sex at an inappropriate time or place, but instead of acting on that impulse just reached into his or her pocket and pulled out a little condom package and opened it and popped a spearmint flavored or cherry flavored condom into his or her mouth, and started to chew.  Would that help? Huh?  I mean for a person like you?

It is hard to say, since I’m not a sex addict, but it seems it would help.  You just never know though, because we are all individuals, which of course, segues nicely into my thoughts on Michele Obama.  Apparently she gave a speech last night and assured everyone she was just plain folks, that’s nice, but she isn’t.  Why the hell do politicians and their wives seem to think they have to be like us?  I wouldn’t want me running the country, would you?  Yes, biologically she is like us and yes, she is a mother and wife and daughter, etc.  But her life is a million light years removed from the average American’s daily life.

Furthermore, we don’t want our leaders to be like us, we want them to be leaders, and to be great and do great things and to know more than the average schmuck.  Don’t try to be us, be you.  No wonder the State of the Onion stinks.  Next thing we know we’ll have Obama telling us he was born in a log cabin and McCain will tell us that though his daddy or granddaddy was an admiral, he started out as a mere cabin boy on Old Ironsides. Stop it!  Quit trying to bullshit us, quit trying to spin everything from adopting kids to dodging bullets, etc and tell us what your damned plan is, if you have one.

I don’t really know who the hell M. Obama is but I sure as hell know she isn’t just some average Jane Doe who happens to be married to someone who has led an unordinary life and is now prancing around on the World Stage a few hanging chads away from the White House. So cut the crap, all of you.  If you really want to impress me, do something about the reticulated python problem in America and invent an affordable edible condom.

I promise I will now go back to writing about horse racing, horseracing.

Thanks for your support.

Well my faithful readers, (all two of you) by now it is abundantly clear that I have been changing the look of the old blogeroo with some help.  It was about time to get rid of the old wordpress theme and find something a little spicier and usable.

I’m also adding articles from guest readers and articles I may have written under a pen name.  Look for more articles on greyhound racing and greyhound handicapping, too.  I know you dog racing fans have been chomping at the bit, or is that muzzle for more dog racing articles and help with your handicapping, so I’ve asked my friend Eb to bung some posts into the blog.

I just haven’t been going to the dogs lately (no really I mean it) and therefore haven’t had any fresh insights for you.

On the other hand I have been handicapping horse races and using horse racing systems, so I’ll keep you posted on the latest developments.  At the moment I am concentrating my efforts on races for younger horses.  This is the time of year when the two year olds and three year olds have all gotten some experience and start to show their true form.  It is a good time to find some stand out bets in races written for two year olds and three year olds.

I’ve found that pace plays an even bigger role in races for younger horses because they are intimidated by it more than older horses who learn to rate off the pace.  Many horses who will develop into fine runners later in their careers haven’t learned to settle down and chase a front runner down in the stretch, yet, so early speed wins a lot of races for younger horses.

Understanding Jockey Moves When Handicapping Horse Races
By Bill Peterson

One of the hardest things to figure out when you are handicapping a horse race is what the change of jockey means. Understanding jockey moves will help you to win more bets and lose less money at the races. For instance, the rider who rode the 3 in its last race is now on the 5 and the jockey who rode the 7 declines the ride so there is now a new one on the 7 and he got off the 8 and… well you get the idea. There are times when the riders stay on their mounts and you can handicap the race, but there are also times when all the rider switching will make your head swim.

Before you make a bet you want to know why these riders switched their mounts. Rider changes are usually due to the jockey, or jockey’s agent, making the change. If a trainer can get a good jock on his or her horse, they aren’t likely to make a switch, most of the time. So you can usually figure that if a horse pilot is making a switch, he or she figures to have a better chance of winning the race, or future races on that horse.

Probably the easiest switch to understand and handicap is the switch from one horse to another horse who looks better on paper. It seems quite obvious that the jockey thinks he or she will have a better chance of winning since he or she won or came close last time out with that mount.

But appearances can often be deceiving and the reason may be murkier. When a rider gets on a mount he or she may not plan on winning that race but realizes as the regular rider of the horse he or she may win several races in the future. It doesn’t happen often, but sometimes a rider will get off a horse that is in better form at the moment to get on a horse with more potential for the future.

Then there is the case where the trainer does decide that a different rider would be better suited to the horse. This is like trying to match up couples. Some jockeys are known for being better with younger horses, or hustling them out of the gate faster. Some jockeys are known for being able to rate on the front and getting the most from a front runner while there are others who specialize in closers. Knowing something about the strengths and weaknesses of the jockeys at your favorite track(s) can help a lot.

Some programs and data services now show a breakdown of which categories jockeys win in, They show how well each one fared on maidens, grass races, routes, sprints, etc. When reading them, bear in mind that it depends a lot upon how good the horses were that the jockey was riding. It may appear that a rider is great on the grass compared to the others, when in reality he or she just happened to catch a few very good turf runners.

The final bit of wisdom for picking winners and making bets is to be aware of their strengths, but like everything else in handicapping horse races, be prepared for changes. There are no absolutes and just because a rider is known for being good with maidens, it doesn’t mean he or she will win with that maiden today. The most important factor is still the horse itself and how fit and ready it is for the contest it is about to run.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html – Bill’s handicapping store.

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If you’re as tired of the status quo as I am in the political scene, Paris Hilton may just be the best choice for President.  I’ll admit that I was kind of hoping that Hillary would get the nomination, but she didn’t so it looks like intelligent women are not going to be on the menu. Not that Paris, in her own way, isn’t smart.  She looks pretty darned hot in that bikini when she does the video rebuttal to the comments by McCain’s latest stooge. (Where do these people get off comparing Paris Hilton to anyone as an example of someone we would expect to not have a clue about an important issue?)  What is this, bash Obama and Paris and get two for one?

The key to the upcoming presidential election seems to be change, not unlike every other presdential election in the history of this country.  Same old rhetoric about changing or not changing the direction this country is going in, blah, blah, blah, I’m just so sick of that crap.  Are you?  What do they ever change?  Not much.

Following American politics is getting to be like watching a train wreck in slow motion.  You know what’s going to happen, but you, the voter, really are powerless to change anything.  Sooner or later you realize, it isn’t your country, you just live here. We get two choices and neither one is very appealing in this old horseplayers opinion, and I’ve been handicapping elections and horse races longer than I care to mention.  Hell, I still can’t believe Dewey didn’t make it (no wise guys and girls, he was not one of Donald Duck’s nephews!)

Paris Hilton may not be a rocket scientist, but do we really need a super smart person in office this time around?  OOps sounds like I’m leaning towards McCain, doesn’t it?  Well I’m not.  I am voting for Paris and I urge all you to write in a ballot for Paris Hilton the next President of the United States, and I might add, the sexiest, too.

Now Paris suggested that she might pick Briana for a running mate (whoever she is, sorry I don’t follow these things as closely as I should) but I think that would be a mistake.  I think that Hillary Rodham Clinton is the obvious choice for Vice president of the United States.  First of all, if they appear together in public, Hil will make Paris look even better.  Secondly, associating with an intelligent, ambitious, civic-minded woman wouldn’t hurt Paris Hilton’s somewhat tarnished public image.  Finally, for those moments when Paris’s, shall we say, “blondeness,” causes a slight problem, Hillary could step in and take control.

Before they get elected, presidential hopefuls always tell us how they are going to fix the country and of all the great things they will do.  After they get elected they tell us why the president can’t fix everything in the country and how it is really up to us.  In other words, not much will change.  Ater he is elected, Barack Obama will tell us why we have to allow offshore drilling so Exxon can rape and pillage a little more and squeeze a few billion more out of the environment.  He’ll also explain why we can’t just “pull out,” of Iraq.  We’re already hearing this from McSame so basically we would be getting the same thing.  So what it really comes down to is this, the biggest issue in the presidential race, as I see it, is who do you want to look at for the next four years?  Well, duh, Paris wins hands down.  Hell, she’s going to be in the news all the time anyway for being rich and blonde so we may as well elect her and give her one more reason to be a media star.

As I see it, Paris Hilton and Hillary Clinton would be the dream team.  The perfect combination of experience (I mean Hillary’s), looks, brains (you know), and charm (both).  I’m sure either of them could charm most of the world’s leaders.  Yes, as a team I can’t think of any other two women who could beat Paris and Hillary, can you?