Archive for the “horse racing systems” Category

By http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson  Bill Peterson

I was recently at a race track and saw a man I know, who is a pretty good handicapper most of the time, go on tilt. That is a term poker players use to describe the vulnerable and sometimes volatile condition a person might experience after having a bad beat. In this man’s case, his horse was beaten by a 60-1 longshot at the finish line.

He ranted and raved a while and then went to the self service betting terminal and angrily punched in more bets. He was bound and determined that he was going to win, no matter what it took. Unfortunately for him, what he really needed to do was to stop gambling until he’d cooled down and could make rational decisions, not emotional reactions.

There is an acid test that you must perform when you take a bad beat, and we all do eventually, if we keep betting on horse races. The test is to decide if you are making rational decisions or emotional reactions. Emotional reactions will ruin you at the race track or casino. While the thrill of winning is a big part of playing the horses no matter how professional we may become, overall, our first line of defense is our ability to keep a cool head and make good decisions based on mathematical and historical facts.

In other words, we learn lessons and use the past and good math to find profitable situations, like anyone else who speculates. Once you lose the ability to look at a situation objectively, you may as well stop betting. If you are going to be a professional horse player, whether trying to make a full time living or just to show a profit by betting on horses, then you have to understand that monitoring yourself and maintaining your equilibrium is a must.

My friend who lost his temper and began making angry bets wasn’t paying attention to what he was doing or his feelings and where they were coming from. Losing to a longshot is part of life and sometimes we are the ones who bet the longshots and celebrate when they win. There was probably something else bothering him in his life and the loss just seemed to make it that much worse. That is why many professional gamblers lead such minimalist lives, the fewer things to aggravate, the fewer reasons to go on tilt.

So if you happen to take a bad beat at the race track and start to go on tilt, ask yourself this one question, what else is bothering me and why am I getting so angry when I know this is part of betting on horses? Then take some time off, regain your composure, and start all over, it is part of the game.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to [http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html]http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.

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By http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson    Bill Peterson

There are many people trying to make money betting on horses who are making things difficult for themselves. Horse racing handicapping is difficult enough without having the odds against you. A simple understanding of the odds, probability, and statistics of horseracing and betting will demonstrate what I mean.

Let’s take the simplest bet and see how you can have a better chance of picking more winners. Of course I am talking about straight win bets. The size of the field is something a lot of people don’t take into consideration when handicapping a race, but you really should. Simply put, the more horses the more your chances of losing and the more time it takes to handicap a race to see if there is even a playable horse in the race.

This has two factors that you must take into account. First of all, let’s start with the time it takes you to handicap a race and the number of races you can handicap in a day without burning out. If you can handicap for five hours a day and it takes you 20 minutes to handicap a ten horse race that is 2 minutes per horse that you handicap in the course of a day. You can handicap 15 races with ten horses in each race or

By only handicapping races with 8 horses, instead of the 10 horse races, you eliminate two horses per race and can now handicap 18 races in the same amount of time. That is three more chances to find a good bet. But it gets even better because in a ten horse race, all things being equal, you have a one in ten, or 10% chance of winning, but in an 8 horse field you have a one in eight or 12 1/2% chance. It doesn’t mean that your chances are 2 1/2% better. It actually means that your chances are 25% better.

So by only playing races with 8 horses or less, you can handicap 20% more races in the same amount of time and increase your chances of winning by 25%. In horse racing handicapping, as in any money making venture, time is money and how you budget your time and the level of difficulty you choose, will have a direct impact on how much money you make.

Think about this the next time you are planning your day and choosing the races you will play.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html Bill’s handicapping store.

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By http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson     Bill Peterson

Looking for an easy horse racing handicapping system? Finding one isn’t very hard to do. There are many people who claim they have found an easy way to handicap horse races and to find winners. Those systems are for sale all over the internet. But betting on horses is a risky proposition that should not be taken lightly. It requires a lot of skill if you want to make a profit from your bets. Therefore, while you may find a system that is easy, it is difficult to find an easy system that shows a profit.

Before we go any farther, let’s clarify what making a profit from betting on horses means for the purposes of this article. Making a profit from your horse bets means that for every dollar or pound you put into your bets, you get that money back (return of your investment) and also make a profit (return on your investment). We’ll refer to that return on your investment as your ROI. It may be expressed as a percentage, such as 10%, or an actual figure, such as $10, or 10 pounds.

While you read all the different claims for the horse racing systems out there, ask yourself this simple question, “If anyone really had a surefire and easy method of making a fortune from the horse races, why would he or she sell it?”

That may help you to come back to reality and to realize that no one is giving away the goose who lays the golden egg. On the other hand, in any pursuit in life, there are people with varying levels of expertise who are willing to teach you how to do something because teaching gives them satisfaction and it is a more reliable source of income. That is what the people who are honest and who sell horse racing systems with a money back guarantee are doing.

1. They will readily admit that it will take some effort on your part to learn and apply the lessons of the system.
2. They will also warn you that you probably won’t get rich and that gambling on horses is a risky business for anyone.
3. Most importantly, they will offer a full 100% money back guarantee with no questions asked. Not after you workout their system on a certain number of races and prove that you lost a fortune in bets, that is no guarantee at all. If anyone has a product that they truly believe in and have faith in, they will give you that 100% money back guarantee.

Yes, there are good horse racing systems out there. No, they will not make you rich over night. Yes you will learn some good handicapping tools from them. But nothing comes that easily in life, including truly learning how to handicap horse races and make a betting profit, a positive ROI.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to [http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html]http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.

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Bill Peterson

Are you trying to make a profit from horse racing handicapping? If you are one of the many people who tries to make money on horse racing betting, you may be working very hard. In fact, you may be working too hard.

The desire to be a winner is very strong in some people and horse racing handicapping is an intellectual sport. As with any sport, it brings out the competitor in most of us. On top of that, it is a matter of pressing financial expediency. In plain English, you need the money. While I always advise people not to gamble with money that they cannot afford to lose, I realize that for some gamblers, there is no such thing.

How many times has this happened to you? You handicap a race and make your picks. You find a horse that seems to be priced right and whose chances you like. Then, just before the race starts, you start looking at other runners and your confidence begins to erode. You can’t seem to stop yourself from making more bets on other horses or even combination bets just in case.

The race goes off and your pick wins the race, but because of the other bets you made, you make very little or actually lose money on the race. This is the most common symptom of two things, lack of confidence and over handicapping. Both are deadly to the bankroll.

While I recommend not betting until you are sure you are getting a fair price on your pick, there is one thing you can do to solve the problem. Take only enough money to bet the horses you pick and bet them as soon as you enter the track or OTB parlor. When you win, don’t cash the ticket until all the races are over so you won’t be tempted to bet any of your winnings on last minute bets.

While last minute bets and hunches sometimes pay off, in the long run they probably won’t be winners and you will wind up losing some of your profit or even all your profit back due to your lack of confidence and discipline. My advice is to remember the old adage, “Your first guess is your best guess.” That certainly applies to horse racing. Don’t bet until you are sure you are getting good odds. If you suffer indecision at the last minute, don’t make more bets to cover yourself, just pass the race.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store

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Bill Peterson

If you pay attention to your local or favorite track’s statistics you’ve probably noticed that horses racing from certain post positions are more likely to win. For a small number of races, that number isn’t very significant, but the larger the sample, the more important it becomes.

Depending upon where the starting gate is positioned, horses racing from inside post positions at a mile or over sometimes have a significant advantage because as they race into the first turn, they are already on the rail and have a much shorter route. The less ground they have to cover, the more likely they are to win.

Many tracks publish their post position stats so this is not a secret. The question then becomes, if the inside posts have a better chance of winning, is that factored into the odds? In other words, when the crowd bets, do they take into account the post position and the amount of action any horse receives reflects its post advantage or disadvantage.

If the crowd isn’t paying attention and lets this slip by them, it becomes an advantageous situation for betting. On the other hand, if a horse deserves to be at 5-1 factoring in the post bias, then post position becomes moot as a betting factor.

It takes time and experience, but after a while you will be able to see if the crowd is betting a horse based on post position. My own observation has been that it is considered, but rarely enough. If there is a 19% takeout on the win pool and you can gain as much as 5% of an edge just based on betting ones and twos when they are decent horses, then you are closer to making a profit from the races.

Also, if you like a horse but it has an outside post, taking into account the difficulty of breaking from that post and winning may help to eliminate a few costly losses. The name of the game is reducing that takeout percentage to 0% and then figuring out how to get into the plus column. That is no small task and makes it feel like we handicappers are always breaking from the extreme outside post, if you get my drift.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store

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Bill Peterson

You will notice that there is one four letter word left out of the title of this article and that word is “easy.” That is because horse racing handicapping success and making a profit from horse racing is not easy. If anyone tells you it is, they are not being honest or they are confused. On the other hand, I believe it is possible.

Let’s take a look at what playing the horse and making money by betting on the races involves to get a better idea of how you can succeed.

1. The first thing that people discover, when they get beyond the recreational bettor stage, is that picking winners for profit is work. Handicapping horse races is sometimes called an, “intellectual sport.” If you follow professional sports then you know that pro athletes have to work hard to stay in shape and compete on the pro level. The same is true of being a professional race handicapper. You will have to take it seriously and work at it.

2. When I say that you will have to work I mean several things, first you have to learn how to do it. The best way I know of is to find people who are successful and copy what they are doing. The only problem with that is that the people who really can do it, aren’t real happy about giving away their secrets. On the other hand, there are systems that come pretty close and will teach you a lot about horse racing handicapping in a short amount of time.

Therefore, step number two is to read as many systems as you can, including the good books available, and to then take what you learn and customize it according to your own unique strengths and weaknesses. In the end, every handicapper has to figure out a uniquely personal way to do it. That isn’t easy and it takes time and experience. There are no shortcuts to success at playing the horses. That is both good and bad news. It makes it so there aren’t a lot of people doing it, but also makes it time consuming.

3. The third step is all about profit. Money is how we measure success in horseracing handicapping. Of course, there is the thrill of picking the winner and seeing it thunder down the stretch, the challenge and sense of accomplishment, and the personal growth that comes from working at something you love that tests you every day. But without the betting and making money to pay for the rest of the things you need, it is meaningless. If you are spending your time working at picking winners and betting them, you certainly don’t have time for another job so your income has to come from horseracing. That is not easy.

Therefore, the third step is money management and the accompanying discipline that goes along with that. You must establish good money management habits first and have the discipline to stick with them.

Those are the three steps to horse racing handicapping success.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store

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http://EzineArticles.com/?Three-Steps-to-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Success-and-Profit&id=2098327


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By Bill Peterson

As this title implies, this article is all about making a profit on the horse races, betting on horse races, and shirts. If you wear a shirt, or know someone who does, if you are interested in making a profit from betting on horse races, or know someone who is, then this article is definitely for you. On the other hand, if you just like to have fun, this article is also for you.

I have been going to the horse races since the original chariot races in the hippodrome, so I know a thing or two about hippos. But, seriously, if you want to make a profit on the horse races you will have to take it very seriously and work very hard. There are no shortcuts to consistent profits. Along the way you may lose some money along with your sanity, and perhaps, even a shirt or two.

I once had someone make me a very nice shirt. This person also did not approve of my lifestyle, i.e., going to the race track and betting on horse races. I was once at the track and got so wrapped up in what I was doing, that I stripped down to my tee shirt and left the very nice, custom made, shirt on the back of a chair, never to be seen again.

While I lost my shirt at the race track, someone else, shall we say, acquired my shirt at the race track, but then it became his or her shirt, sort of. The point is that I was enjoying the daylights out of what I was doing and got so wrapped up in it that I forgot my shirt. I also forgot all my troubles and cares and relaxed, something that many people could definitely use in these troubled financial times, as they are euphemistically called by the politicians and CEOs.

When I came home without the shirt, but with a little more money than I started with, the reviews were mixed, but overall unfavorable. While a little more money in the till was always a crowd pleaser, the loss of the cherished garment didn’t go over well. Domestic tranquility faded in the stretch and the result is that I still go to the race track, but no longer have a custom made shirt maker waiting back at the barn.

The point is that you have to get so wrapped up in horse racing handicapping and betting that you will have to make some sacrifices along the way. If you are considering making a go of betting on horse races, you better think about it long and hard before you go down that path. While shirts, even nice ones, are not all that important in the grand scheme of things, people who will make you one are not easy to find. Handicapping and betting are hard to do.

Most people try it and decide it is more work and sacrifice than it is worth. They have an occasional outing at the race track for fun and enjoy the diversion from their cares and the stress of life. They go home with their shirts and usually manage to hang onto the shirt maker as well. It is a path that seems to be quite popular. Being a professional handicapper often means following what the poet Frost called, “The road less traveled…” in his famous poem, “The Road Not Taken.”

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.

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By Bill Peterson

Speed handicapping is probably the most popular form of handicapping horse races. One of the nice things about speed handicapping is that it is so easy. The figures are posted in the form and because of modern methods, they are usually pretty uniform. I have found they don’t hold up as well for races over one and one eighth miles and under five and a half furlongs, but that may just be my own personal experience.

Overall, if you are looking for the fastest horse in a race, a good place to start is the speed ratings. Unfortunately, that very fact makes it difficult to make money on horses that have proven they are the fastest horse. When you are handicapping horse races for profit, being right is important, but making a profit is more important.

Being able to scan a form and pick a few races where one horse stands out as the fastest horse may impress your friends, but being able to find one or two horses that do not stand out, but may still win at a nice price, is what the real pros do, day in and day out.

Therefore, there are several ways to make money off speed figures. One way is to find a race where the horse with the best figs. has a few questionable factors, such as moving up against classier horses, changing distance, or surface, etc. There is always the bounce factor to consider, as well.

It is better to find a race where the speed isn’t so clear and you may get a price on a horse that will benefit from a pace scenario that favors its style of running. Though the horse may not have the best speed figures, it is still a good bet because it is at longer odds and the horse with the best figures doesn’t always win. Pace plays a major role in most races. Another factor that can change the expected outcome of a race is equipment changes and horses that are improving or declining.

The point is that it is hard to make money betting the horse with the best speed figures, but easier, though still not easy, to make a profit from your horse racing handicapping, by betting on the horse that will surprise at a price.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.

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By Eb Netr

It seems there are two schools of thought on sports betting systems. There are the people who think that they’re scams. Then there are the people who think that they’ll just buy one and be picking winners in five minutes. Somewhere in between is the truth about sports betting systems.

1.Sports betting systems for any sport are only a tool – not a magic wand. Systems can help you handicap and pick winners, but they can’t do any more than a very intelligent handicapper.

2.Systems need good money management to work. If you don’t have a betting system and some self-control, forget about making money on games or at the track. If you’re not planning your betting strategy and being realistic about how much you have to spend, you could pick winners and actually lose money.

3.No sports betting system shouldn’t cost more than you’d spend on a typical day betting on your favorite sport. For instance, if you usually bet $100 on a game or race card, don’t pay more than that for a system. It just doesn’t make financial sense.

4.Even the best sports betting system only works if you read and understand the directions and try them out on paper before you bet real money. That’s just common sense.

5. It takes more than a system to win consistently at any sport. It takes dedication, patience, good money management and self-control. Add all of that to a good sports betting system and you’re very likely to make a nice little piece of change.

It’s human nature to want to get something for nothing, and that includes easy money. However, it’s also human nature for unscrupulous people to sell very over-priced, useless systems to bettors who think that they can instantly pick winners every time if only they have the right system.

Be smart. Research before you buy any betting system. See what else the system seller has written about that subject. If it’s helpful and makes sense, then their system probably will also.

Eb Netr is the author of The 2Key Trifecta sports betting system to help you win trifectas at the dog track. Eb has been handicapping the dogs for over 30 years and shares his knowledge at http://ebnetr.com

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By Bill Peterson

The first time I went to a horse track I was a kid and things were a lot different than they are now, or so it seems at first glance. For one thing, there were no synthetic tracks back then. Horses raced on dirt and mud and slop and knowing which ones could handle the off track was a valuable piece of information. The public had their choice of the Telegraph or Form and most local newspapers carried information about horse racing, too.

The television hadn’t made a great impact on the public and finding good entertainment, live entertainment, was still a good way to enjoy an afternoon. Most small towns had a ball field where local teams played and there was usually a race track, too.

While insiders often had more information than the general public, it was possible to make a profit at the track with your handicapping. One of the reasons for that was that the takeout was much lower back then. One of the problems with handicapping now is that you have to overcome a very large “Vig.”.

Some people think that because there is more information available to horse racing handicappers now that it is easier to handicap a race and to make a profit picking winners, but such is not the case. If everyone has access to the same information and tools, why would one person have an advantage?

That is all that picking winners for profit has ever required, an advantage. It is a delicate balancing act between being able to determine who is likely to win and how much is a good price. As I have handicapped over the years, I’ve seen the margin for profit stretched to the limit. It is still possible, but not any easier than it ever was before to make money from horse racing handicapping.

What you must do to be successful as a horse racing handicapper in the twenty first century is to practice and pay attention. Your mind and ability to work and stay focused are the most valuable tools and that hasn’t changed since time began. While it is true that there is more information available, you just can’t process it all and though a computer can crunch large figures, when it comes to day to day handicapping and making a profit on bets, no computer has ever done that except the one between your ears.

So how do you practice and learn as a handicapper? First, don’t try to play every kind of race or every track. Focus on tracks or a track that you can get good information about and become an expert on that track. Get to know about the trainers and their habits and the jockeys, too. Learn about biases and what race model works for each distance and surface.

Handicap the races and create your own morning line. After you get the scratches, make adjustments to that morning line to reflect any changes. Then sit and watch the tote board odds and the pools and amounts and pay attention to how the money is distributed. Compare the odds on the horses and while you’re at it, watch the horses themselves and make notes about their condition and the jockey’s and trainer’s body language. Are you starting to see how much work this is?

It can be a lot of fun, because you are playing detective, but it is still work. That is why I suggest you focus on a track and one or two kinds of races, so you won’t spread yourself too thin. Keep comparing the actual tote board odds with your morning line and look for good value bets. If you are using a system to handicap the horses, that will help to come up with your own accurate morning line. Your morning line is absolutely essential because it is how you determine if a bet is a good value and your job, as a horse racing handicapper, is to find good value bets.

If you have placed low odds on a horse because it looked good on paper, but looks bad in the post parade, adjust your odds accordingly. Keep notes. I can’t stress that enough, this is how you will learn and grow as a handicapper and the only way you will succeed. Finally, place small affordable bets at first as you grow as a handicapper. Consider yourself an apprentice and keep honing your skills. There will be time enough for big bets when you are truly an expert.

There are a lot of people trying to make a living by betting on horse races and most of them are failing. As times get tougher, more will try. They’ll try fancy software programs and fill their minds with so much information they will have to buy a bigger hat. They will continually buy new systems that promise to automatically pick winners and they will be disappointed by them. But very few will do what I have just suggested to you and therefore, if you take my advice, you will have a much better chance to succeed.

There are no guarantees, but read over my suggestions again and you will see that they make more sense than all the modern gadgets and get rich quick systems that are for sale today. You and your mind and your experience are the tools that you must learn to use and succeed with, and that hasn’t changed since the first horse race thousands of years ago.

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/ and get the truth.

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.

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