Changes Are the Biggest Key to Horse Racing Handicapping Success
Posted by: willie in Horse Racing Handicapping, horse racing betting, horse racing systems, horseracingIf you want to make money betting on horses, by being good at horse racing handicapping, then you must learn to recognize positive changes. If all the horses in the race performed the same way they did in their last race, picking the winner wouldn’t be very difficult. The problem is that nothing stays the same and yet, people look at the horse’s last race to see how it will perform today.
The reason that doesn’t work is that horses are living, breathing, animals and their health, condition, attitude, changes from hour to hour and day to day, just like humans. If you can look at a race and find a horse that has a reason to improve, then you are looking at a horse that may not be properly valued by the crowd. That is how you make money betting on horses. You must find the horse that is under valued.
The reason that the other bettors under bet a horse is usually that they think it will perform the same way it did in its last race, and that race wasn’t as good as another horse’s that is running against it. The horse with the best last race is usually the favorite. That makes sense in a way, except that you can never make money betting on a horse like that.
Horses with a good last race will usually take most of the money and yet, if you look at the races before that one, you’ll see that the horse had some other races that weren’t as good. When it finally rounded into form and won a race, it was probably under valued and some other horse was the favorite. This cycle repeats itself over and over again and yet the crowd keeps buying into it.
The things that can change, and therefore improve a horse, are conditioning, equipment changes, jockey changes, barn changes, improved health. In order to understand these changes you need to learn a little about horses. For instance, if you see a horse with front wraps, bandages on its front legs, it may be having problems. If the horse didn’t have wraps when it won its last race, why does it have them now?
There could be three reasons…
1. The trainer is trying to throw some of the bettors off the horse so he or she can get better odds.
2. The trainer doesn’t want the horse claimed and figures the wraps will scare other trainers away.
3. The horse has developed a problem and is going lame. Maybe it raced so hard last time out that it now has a bowed tendon or other physical problem that will affect its running.
If you know a little about the trainer and his or her tricks it will help you to decipher that one. My point is that in any race there will be changes. Each trainer is trying to figure out what it will take to make his or her horse run better and you need to see which ones are good at doing just that. That is how you’ll find a good bet and that is how you make money handicapping horse races.
If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.
Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson