A Few Horse Racing Handicapping Tips for Horses Coming Back From a Layoff
Posted by: willie in Horse Racing Handicapping, horse racing betting, horse racing systems, horseracingA Few Horse Racing Handicapping Tips for Horses Coming Back From a Layoff
By http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson Bill Peterson
One thing that you will be constantly running into when you are horse racing handicapping is horses who have had a layoff of 30 days or more. Of course the big question is, “How will the horse do after being rested?” There are some horses who win first time out while others need to be raced back into condition. The longer the layoff, the more likely the horse will need a race or two to get back into racing shape.
Form is such a fleeting thing in horses that any significant layoff means that whatever form the horse had is no longer relevant. I generally don’t mind seeing a 30-40 day layoff but when I see more than that then I want to see something to indicate that the horse is ready.
One way to judge the horse is by how it looks. A long layoff may result in a big belly and that means the horse will not be in top form. Look the horse over and see if that belly is bulging and hanging down. If it is, give it a few races and a few weeks to regain form. The next thing I look at is the racing dimple and muscle tone. The racing dimple indicates muscle tone. It is the crease that runs down each side of the horse’s haunch in the back. The deeper and more defined the dimple, the better the muscle tone. You can also look the rest of the horse over to see if the muscles appear tight or flabby.
Next I look at the coat. A shiny coat with some dappling just under the skin is an excellent sign of a horse that is in good health.
After looking the horse over, take a look at the jockey. Is it the regular rider or a competent jockey? If there is a no-name jockey on the horse it is probably just out for conditioning. After checking out the jockey look at the trainer’s stats with horses coming off a layoff. If the trainer shows a positive record with these types it is a good sign but if he or she rarely wins with a horse off a layoff it probably means the trainer’s style is to race them back into shape.
Another good way to tell if the horse is ready is by looking at the works. If you see the horse has what is known as a “willie” a certain kind of work that indicates very good form, then you’ll know it is ready. The final piece of course is to check out the tote board. If there is inside money on it then it is being sent out for a win.
That doesn’t mean if it is bet it is a good bet. Look for inside money using a method like the tote board method in http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html True Handicapping. If everything looks good and the horse compares well with the other runners, you might have a very good bet.
The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/FAQ.html Whats a Willie and get the truth.
Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html Bill’s handicapping store.
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